Ticker Widget

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

SOUTH AFRICA'S RAND WEAKENS AS DOLLAR RISES, STOCKS RECOVER (REUTERS ARTICLE)


JOHANNESBURG, June 27 (Reuters) - South Africa's rand fell against the dollar on Wednesday as the greenback rose broadly after trade-related worries eased amid a slight softening of the U.S. administration's approach to Chinese investment. FRX/

At 1526 GMT, the rand ZAR=D3 traded at 13.8100 per dollar, 1.96 percent weaker than its close on Tuesday.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he would use a strengthened security review process to deal with threats from Chinese investments to acquire U.S. technologies, instead of imposing China-specific restrictions. yield on the benchmark government bond due in 2026 ZAR186= rose two basis points to 8.9 percent. The yield had risen to 9.24 percent last week, its highest since December.

Rand Merchant Bank fixed income analyst Gordon Kerr said local bonds held up well despite the risk-off environment.

"It remains to be seen if we can push lower from here. Investors don't seem to be in a real rush to buy. But that will change if USD/ZAR manages to break through 13.10," Kerr said in a note. "Given how bid the dollar is at the moment, it does seem like the market still favours the top side."

Data from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange showed foreign investors sold 34.7 billion rand ($2.5 billion) worth of South African bonds between January and June, the highest sell-off on record. the bourse, stocks lifted after two consecutive negative sessions led by bourse heavy-weight and rand-hedge Naspers.

The benchmark Top 40 index .JTOPI was up 0.39 percent to 49,329 points, while the all share index .JALSH was up to 0.21 percent to 55,369 points.

"The all-share was down 1.5 percent and now we see the market up ...predominately driven by Naspers," said Grant Gilbert, portfolio manager at Nedbank Private Wealth.

Naspers NPNJn.J , which owns about 30 percent of the Chinese technology firm Tencent, closed up 2.57 percent to 3177.99 rand.

Rand-hedged stocks, which make the bulk of their revenue outside South Africa and tend to strengthen as the currency weakens.

($1 = 13.7130 rand)

USDCHF DAILY ANALYSIS (27 JUNE 2018)

Looks like the Greenback is gaining ground against Swissy and it is trading near its daily highs. The momentum is quite bullish at the moment and we might see war between bulls and bears at 0.9950 level and if bulls win the war the price will be pushed to 1.00552 level where there is strong resistance.


Tuesday, June 26, 2018

BULLISH BAT ON NZDUSD DAILY (26 JUNE 2018)

NZD/USD is currently testing the 0.6854 level, the May 16 low (the former 2018 low). Bulls will look for long position from the level.


Sunday, June 24, 2018

TRUST YOUR TRADING PLAN

NZDCHF DAILY (24 JUNE 2018)

FOREX - WEEKLY OUTLOOK: JUNE 25 - 29 (INVESTING.COM)


© Reuters.  Investing.com - U.S. inflation data will be in focus this week with the Federal Reserve having already flagged four interest rate hikes this year. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure; the core PCE price index is due on Friday.

The third reading on first quarter U.S. GDP is due the day before and there will also be data on durable goods orders and consumer sentiment.

The euro zone is to release a preliminary inflation estimate on Friday, while EU leaders are to hold a two-day summit in Brussels, which gets underway on Thursday.

The euro rose on Friday, buoyed by data showing that second quarter growth is likely to have been solid and by fresh assurances from Italy’s new government that the country would not leave the euro area.

The single currency received an additional boost after Greece secured debt relief and a cash infusion from the euro zone.

EUR/USD was up 0.44% to 1.1654 in late trade, for a weekly gain of 0.39%.

The gains in the euro pressured the dollar lower. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.37% at 94.19 late Friday. For the week, the index was down 0.63%.

Despite its gains, the euro still remains vulnerable to political instability in the euro area and ongoing trade tensions.

On Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 20% tariff on car imports from the EU. Trump’s threat came after the EU imposed tariffs on a range of U.S. imports in response to steel and aluminum tariffs from the White House.

The dollar was almost unchanged against the yen late Friday, with USD/JPY at 109.96. For the week, the pair was down 0.61%.

The pound rose to one-week highs on Friday, a day after a more hawkish Bank of England revived expectations for an August rate hike, but fears over a fresh period of uncertainty in Brexit negotiations checked gains.

GBP/USD hit a high of 1.3315 before pulling back to 1.3263 in late trade.

Elsewhere, the commodity linked currencies strengthened on Friday following a modest increase in oil production by OPEC.

The Australian dollar bounced higher, with AUD/USD rising 0.92% to 0.7445, rebounding from the previous session’s 13-month lows of 0.7344.

The Canadian and New Zealand dollars were also higher, with USD/CAD down 0.35% to 1.3267 and NZD/USD advancing 0.6% to 0.6908.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, June 25

The Ifo Institute is to report on German business climate.

Tuesday, June 26

The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is due to speak at an event in Alabama.

Wednesday, June 27

New Zealand is to publish data on trade and a report on business confidence.

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is to hold a press conference about the latest financial stability report in London.

The U.S. is to release data on durable goods orders.

Fed Governor Randal Quarles is to speak at an event in Idaho.

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is to speak.

Thursday, June 28

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish a rate statement which outlines economic conditions and the factors affecting the monetary policy decision.

In the euro zone, Germany is to release preliminary data on inflation.

European Union leaders are to attend the first day of an economic summit in Brussels.

The U.S. is to release revised data on first quarter growth as well as the weekly report on jobless claims.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is to speak in Atlanta.

Friday, June 29

The UK is to produce revised data on first quarter growth as well as figures on the current account and net lending.

The euro zone is to release a preliminary estimate of consumer price inflation.

EU leaders are to attend the second day of an economic summit in Brussels.

Canada is to release its monthly report on economic growth as well as data on raw material price inflation. The Bank of Canada is to publish its business outlook survey.

The U.S. is to round up the week with data on personal spending and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the core PCE price index, along with data on business activity in the Chicago region and revised data on consumer sentiment.

GBPCAD DAILY (24 JUNE 2018)


GBPCAD: Based on friday's bearish pin bar we might see a lower move this week. Sell from supply zone.


Wednesday, June 20, 2018

6 KEYS TO SUCCESSFUL FOREX TRADING


GBPCHF DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

FOREX STEPS FOR BEGINNERS


Trading in the Forex Market can be difficult, but everyone can learn.
Before earning a lot by trading Forex, it’s important to first educate yourself. This is a mini-guide for beginners to read as they begin their trading careers in the Financial Markets. Keep in mind to always have your trusty offline notebook with you so as to register plans, strategies and impressions (gut feeling is very real). Forex can reward you big time if you treat it like a business.

The most important tips for every trader to become successful in the Forex Market:

1. Start in the demo


By not risking real money, new traders are able to sharpen their minds and skills before going into the real market. It’s highly advised that new traders start using the demo for at least a month before investing for real. Also, when using the demo be sure to maintain a serious conduct and do your best as if it you were using real money. This stage is also crucial in helping beginners understand the dynamics of the Forex market so take it seriously.

2. Learn Forex as much as you can

Many people think it’s obligatory to be an expert in all tools and strategies, basic knowledge of charts, graphics, and calculations in order to invest in the Forex Market. While all knowledge contributes to better trading, everyone can trade by knowing the basics. The internet is full of content. Remember: learning is the most vital part, and will prevent a lot of headache right from the start.

3. Don’t be swept away by feelings and emotions


It’s absolutely vital to always keep a peaceful mind when trading. If you feel anxious, angry, fearful or even sad, it’s might be better to leave trading for another time. Emotions and feelings make a huge impact on a trader’s decision making process, so it’s important to make a self-assessment before trading. Know when your mind is disturbed by them and when you are not apt to operate. Self-confident, happy, courageous and even hopeful people make better choices in the markets.

4. Create a few, well-defined, Forex strategies

A trader has to know what to expect from the Forex market in very clear terms. If you believe an asset will go up or down by a certain percentage, write it down and define your Take Profit and Stop Loss appropriately. One of the greatest catastrophes that befall new traders face is not knowing when to SELL. Remember: the market goes in cycles and no asset only goes up! So when your position strikes a specific amount of profit or loss, make sure to SELL as this attitude will in the end be to your advantage in the long run, even if that means abandoning some profit in the short run.

5. Be prepared for all scenarios

It’s impossible to always profit, especially in the Forex market which has high volatility. Even the most seasoned traders are aware of this and are not depressed from losing. They know that in the long run they can recover their losses by just adjusting the strategy, waiting for the market to stabilize or just risking less. Getting depressed over lost capital can cost a trader’s career and, worse yet, make him roll on a chain of bad investment. Keep a clean, confident mindset and don’t let emotions ruin your trades.

6. Start small and only proceed when you feel more confident

You might have a great intuition or know it’s “absolutely clear” an asset will take a certain turn. But remember nobody has a crystal ball and that a single event can bring big losses. Make sure to establish a set amount of money to trade and not go over it. Just because a person can win big once they start, it doesn’t mean this will follow forever. Greed can be very dangerous and spell the downfall of every trader. Keep your eyes on your plan and you will go a long way.

7. Develop a strategy and your trading style

A trading strategy and style is essential for every trader. Most people will use simple Fundamental Analysis to trade in the beginning. As a person acquires experience, his operations will refine, and he will develop more complex strategies. Eventually he will create a unique trading style (like Technical or Scalping). Try to maintain your style for a longer time, in order to master it to your advantage. People who change too much don’t specialize in anything.

8. Acquire a mentor or a guide for yourself

While not always available, they can be a great help to correct faulty assumptions and mistakes before any loss of money. If possible, it’s always advised to consult a friend or relative who’s more seasoned, before opening a position and explain your line of thinking behind it. The mentor might see something you let pass and give a better approach. Despite the fact that few people can have the help of mentors,. A very interesting exercise would be to try to guess his reasoning behind the expert’s choices. Make sure to write down your impressions in your offline notebook.

9. Persist and persist again

Just like every art, success only comes after plenty of effort and sweat. If at first you don’t succeed, don’t give up. That’s how most successful people advance in life!

In conclusion, trading Forex is an art and a science. Like every other one, it takes time to dominate it. But once you get the hang of it, your sailing becomes ever smoother in the sea of social trading. Eventually, anyone determined and careful enough can make money in the Forex market. So stick to the fundamentals until you are comfortable with more advanced tools, keep advancing, refine your strategy, and safe trading!

EURAUD WEEKLY

Monday, June 4, 2018

WHAT IS A FOREX TRADING STRATEGY, SYSTEM OR APPROACH?


A forex trading strategy is simply a set of rules telling you when to buy or sell when certain market conditions are met in order to make a profit.
Any forex trading strategy should have these 4 core but basic elements

4 Essential Elements Of A Forex Trading Strategy

1. the condition(s) that should trigger you to buy or sell.
2. where to place your stop loss order,
3. where to place take profit target
4. and the system should have rules on how to manage a trade.

That’s the definition of a what a forex trading strategy is.

If a a trading system that does not have any one of these core elements, the you are going to be left confused in implementation.

To put simply, forex market can be said to be chaotic. So to have order in a chaotic market, you got to have rules.